Monday, December 20, 2010

The historical experience of Powers II (Network Abstract)

 Seven politicians the courage to turn things around at the crucial moment
World War II, the colonies became independent, India's independence in 1947. This time we played badly the Chinese KMT. Separatist in India, 1948 India-Pakistan division. Nehru on these key issues is simply nerd, a bit like Gorbachev. Jawaharlal Nehru was playing a Western democracy card, so naive as to think that sooner or later split back in Pakistan. But Pakistan is not a go return, clouds golden empty leisurely. not only come back, but a dozen is fifty years India and Pakistan. Now some Chinese people on Taiwan also of this view: that the secession of Taiwan, such as, if we do a good job, and that time It is natural selection back. This is a naive idea. Panamanian eyelids in Columbia, independence to 1903, 100 years now has not returned to Columbia. Columbia is such a big country, you Look at the map, Panama in the above is just a small point, but that can not go back. If India had not split, things we imagine the Sino-Indian conflict of 1962 look like? It is said that Indian culture inherently weak, could not get out power figures. In fact, this is a big misunderstanding. In the end, when the Pacific War, India has two leaders, one is Nehru and the other is Suba Si. Chandra. Bowes (Subhas Chandra Bose) . the former one was with the Anglo-American, after one is with Hitler, Tojo's. Chandra. Bowes even went as Wang had a photo. He advocated the use of military off British colonial rule in India. This types of claims used by the German and Japanese. before the end of the Pacific War, he died in a plane crash. This person is not Gongzigeer, Nehru was a pretty useless not to engage in a politicians that a small trick. can imagine, then if Chandra. Bowes did not die, and was elected Prime Minister of India, that India's history might be completely different, the domestic separation of forces would be destroyed without mercy. Despite the money de. Bowes died so many years, can be many Indians, especially college students miss him, think he is a hero.
we look at Mao and Nehru in the same period. India's independence, the Communist Party is now Chiang Kai-shek to fight, there are some people in Tibet to fighting for independence, and the United States, India, some of the forces of collusion. can imagine that, in 1948, only a small amount if the Indian troops were secretly support the . because we were simply unable to West, the later it is difficult to re-negotiate this situation today. In October 1949 Mao Zedong announced the founding of the PRC, in early 1950 to surprise and quickly won Tibet. Nehru reaction came later, another protest is condemned, and later engaged in any retired military invasion of China and India.
was asked why China in 1962 came back to win it again and again?
if we look at the terrain will understand Mao Zedong in Tibet is dangerous move out of this with his flexible mobility is consistent with the strategic and tactical thinking, when we have achieved victory only narrowly. We can not keep up logistics, is powered by natural materials will be shipped on the Tibetan plateau of war, and its high cost is amazing. If India is to drag us six months, this war could affect China's overall economic construction. Mao Zedong is truly wise, Nehru small step forward,cheap UGG boots, and we are precious in war Mao, step in place, beat him by surprise. When the chaos of India, uncertain state of mind occasion, we immediately withdraw troops, the return of weapons seized them, and to set international justice, peace image. Zedong in the struggle for peace, the Korean War from 1952 and 1962, self-defense war against India end to the present, There was no fighting in the northeast and southwest China. Some things have to do this, if you dare to fight, good fight, rational and restrained hand, there will be peace. Zedong dare to happen in real chess, good Chuxian strokes, the result of war with the shortest time to win the Chinese border the longest peace. This is the struggle for peace and diplomacy of Mao Zedong Thought to the successful example of new China, Mao is also a big contribution.
dream of the Chinese people's power from the Sun began. take a look at past history films, that no use. we all know, the state is not strong, national bullied by .1949, the Chinese began to move toward a strong, when it was surrounded by the United States. In this case, how do we rushed out? is a struggle and not by compromise. The United States has to Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia. China's northeast was the equivalent of today's Shanghai, just nation-building, undone, our heavy industry base in Northeast that point, but in its East Wing, the U.S. has soldiers arrives. when we Some people believe that the U.S. is not going to China, but also do not want to play in China. Mao did not believe. Mao Zedong, but not the rhetoric from the United States forces from the changes seen in both problems. Once the United States won the DPRK, the United States and then turn against the Chinese too late. this moment, Times have changed, Zedong can not believe that there is no power to ensure promises. Mao Zedong decided the Korean War. At that time the atomic bomb the United States. We do not have any advanced weapons, that is courage. but we won. Some people say a draw, and China is so poor, a draw is won. Enlai attended the Bandung Conference in 1955, delegates were clapping and welcomed the Chinese delegation: China for their courage and victory cheers, arrogant and domineering in China hailed the U.S. wiped out. absurd, when Mao Zedong, the feeling of sitting in Zhongnanhai particularly good. the international struggle at times like this, the key time to have the courage to pull the wrist, win or lose in this one fell swoop.
eight, there is no uniform national market countries, it is impossible
rise and the Soviet Union similar to the road construction in China have also had two programs, a program slowly, directly engaged in private ownership, after a long practice of a democratic socialist later stage. started the same way Mao Zedong thought, and later he changed his the idea. My experience of the countryside and visiting scholar from 2000 to the experience of India was the year Mao Zedong made me quickly understand and engage in public communes is justified. Nehru also began to build socialism, then suddenly changed his mind, engage in public-private mix. We know that different forms of ownership under the same product, the transaction cost is not the same. Once engaged in private ownership, production, transaction costs to include the system, the result is needlessly increased the cost of the national infrastructure, and to In its initial stage of modernization of China will bear the cost because it can not be interrupted. India's infrastructure has aged incredibly. Why? its system costs are very high, the use of each piece of land had to buy. In India, a railway repair spend the money than the same period China's high. I have been to town, when the country if the acquisition of a piece of land, as long as a piece of paper orders to rural communes, smooth all the way, the villagers have no objection, there is no kind of Kudiehanniang today situation. when China engaged in three lines, such as law by engaging in private ownership, the cost would be astronomical. Zedong production through the ownership transformation of the transaction costs to a minimum, and Nehru in India compared to how fast we Mao Good province, in the shortest time, with the lowest cost, is the rise of the new China has laid a solid foundation for the modernization of today was built on this basis.
India is completely different. We read the newspaper said India the software power, scientific and technological power, but India seems not the case. I went to pay the Treasury when the Jawaharlal Nehru University in India, saw the financial statements have been piled to the roof from the ground, half a house, books are piled. The whole hall is not a computer. I went to the international political system, only a 386-based computers, and often does not work. I am waiting for an e-mail often have to wait an hour or two, typists with the use of the typewriter when the Industrial Revolution in Britain is similar to the work it sounds great; the administration building is the sound, as with the factory. This situation indicates that it is not so much the domestic PC market demand, India is not rich to buy a computer, buy to no avail. It is the entire production and marketing is completely separated, the market relying on foreign and domestic large number of poor by the government arranged the basic livelihood guarantee, a number of consumer items, such as poor water and medical care are free. One time I went to their government-run hospitals were a minor operation, From registration to the end of surgery, spent a total of 10 rupees, a considerable RMB two dollars. India, most people are poor, the poor do not have much money on hand, which would not have much purchasing power. Therefore, the consumption statistics show more than a high-index The Government arranged rather than domestic private capital spending. Indian brains are for foreigners long. I went to a small restaurant, the day the boss was very happy woman, said her son got a U.S. green card. In India, people get home to the U.S. green card is very proud and happy about. Indians are very smart, but only for the American service, because India's national market is small. first two years of Nobel laureate Amartya. Sen (Amartya Sen) is a Hindu, but most of his life was in the United States and Britain. just because he did not give up Indian nationality rather than the long-term work in India, became the first Indian Nobel Prize winner. I really do not know who launched the West Indian descent of the Indians won the Nobel Prize in economics what it means to imply about the West India should go out according to the Latin American model.
we talk about GNP, we must study its composition, and not just look at the total. a country's capital formation, savings constitute a reflection of the nature of a country's economy. is autonomous or dependent national economy based economy, can be seen from the composition of GNP. So we can not simply say that to reach several trillion GNP, this is only the surface phenomenon, it depends on what is the structure. Qing GNP is very high, but the form that it is not power.
Agricultural Reform in China had never solve the problem. the so-called natural transformation of the agricultural economy of small market for the modern farm economy. China has always been a natural since the Qin Dynasty after the small agricultural economy in 1949, the new Chinese leaders to consider the issue of agricultural reform. but because it involves the commodity economy, and thus the central agricultural policy has always been in the Deng Xiaoping. Xiaoping start with agricultural problems, we should return the land to the peasants. greatly increased the enthusiasm of farmers. Despite the small agricultural economy has fast start feature, but not easily durable and easy to differentiate, very fragile. a one in production, family labor into one or two acres of land, the production of the farm than the high human cost and the West out of proportion. At that time China's agriculture to the urban self-sufficiency after a surplus, rather than general merchandise. the production lost due to no profit pressure efficiency. With China entering the market economy, attract foreign investment, this natural small agricultural economy to barely a whole. Urban growth in industrial prices make the cost higher than the natural result of the small agricultural output, coupled with high-quality low-cost agricultural products abroad introduction of the collapse of China's agriculture is facing a crisis soon. It can be predicted, with the WTO provisions on agriculture of protection of the Chinese Government is over, if the government has no effective protection of agricultural policies, China's agricultural crisis will likely into 1789 French-style political disaster.
There is a picture cartoon, a bullock cart pulled a truck shell, which seems to be a portrayal of China's agriculture. truck is a modern urban economy, the carts are a backward agricultural economy, is the city basis. based on the natural faces bankruptcy over the modern metropolis of small agriculture, can stand before you, to have development potential? carts on the truck can not run fast. now only children in rural China, women , the elderly, almost the edge of disintegration. And if not China's demand for industrial products of agriculture, China's industrial market is a national talk. Now we are a bit impatient comrades on agricultural water buffaloes, and put one foot carts kick off. But if we lack patience, but to give up the transformation of our agricultural base, and that the Chinese economy can only be dependent on the international market rather than take the national market economy development. History shows that there is no unified national market in a country where can not rise.
China involves a large number of workers laid off there, the problem can not be guaranteed life of the peasants. This is mainly because of insufficient resources. Early in the capitalist western countries have had this problem occur, but they are the expense of colonial resources method to compensate for the domestic social issues. vast colonies of these countries provide huge profits. British colony of India into, so many years, India still so poor, it is illustrative. modern history for hundreds of years, more than to go west is this the way the outlying areas of deprivation of capital, Stalin is another kind of way to go. This is deprived of its farmers, and in order to prevent polarization, he means to put an end to collective farms with uneven distribution. But today's China, , we can not engage in colonies, can not engage in the mean absolute collectivization policy. how do? only go out, slowly develop not, but the workers, peasants the right to life should come first, from the political point of view, the state Or should the basis for establishing the status of the majority of laborers. Now what the film is not a General We can not say whether they are more difficult to them. They are the country's feet. odor amazing washing, sick have to do, out? Of course not, they are the basis of the body. all sectors of our country as a whole, we must protect. I think the thought of Mao Zedong's peasant alliance is a long-term considerations. can not be everything to productivity as a standard, we should people, especially the majority of workers the quality of the material and spiritual life of the standard high and low productivity, productivity of workers and peasants as the main service, which is foundation of a nation. wealthier countries, the standard in the near term, the income should be the number of workers and peasants, who is a national the basis of the market. If the percentage of minorities occupy fifty percent of national deposits, the consequences are very terrible. History is not a big country is a large number of workers and peasants in the country bankrupt, life continued to deteriorate in the rise. Chinese farmers in China's modernization process and the market economy to do a lot of sacrifices. In fact, we should be compensated for them. This is not only a moral issue, it is more a political issue. the workers and peasants of China at the present stage of social security best interests, is whether China can really rise in the 21st century political guarantee.
Some would say that the current situation is that the process of development issues, with China's economic prosperity, these problems will gradually disappear in the reform. But now the United States may not give the Chinese ample time for the reform of China's gradual rise. Why? You are the weakest period, everyone knows what the results you are progressive. Xiaoping are writing about the book, and keeping a low profile, cool cool, these words are also translated into English, the others do not is not known. now hegemonic aim is to China's domestic resources Taoguang and then ask you regret .2001 June 21 U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee, said: He used the experience gained while doing business is not in the rise of rivals, when he used down the minimum effort. We should now understand that, in time to prepare.
IX, the future Shijie If you do not reduce consumption of resources, it will have wars
Deng Xiaoping, China's most important contribution is to bring China's market economy from a natural economy. But after we transition to a market economy and found that more and more rapidly in the industrial development of productive forces at the same time, our national agricultural markets have become increasingly fragile, barely industrial speed, so China's industrial products are increasingly dependent on overseas markets. economy relies on overseas is not terrible, terrible self-defense means that we are weak overseas. The result is that we increasingly dependent on overseas markets, we and the world hegemony of the contradictions are deeper and wider so that both sides can become less and less room.
addition to market, along with economic development, China demand for and dependence on international resources are also increasing. In the past how can we not? economy in the past, we do yoga, yoga is characterized by the tenacious survival of absorption a little bit of resources, little water, air on the line, a bit like Loach. It is this economic form of natural economy, the energy consumption to a minimum, this can live very long. We at that time, how did the development of resources, consumption is very low, that vast land. Now we are spending some deformities. For example, buy tea, tea pot tea are high compared to sales a profit. for profit, at the cut-throat competition. and the weight loss phenomenon, to a long body, manufacturers encourage you to eat more, it will be profitable; gained over, and manufacturers and encourage you weight loss, which in turn is profit. This is the profit left, the right is the profit, the end result is a zero. But this premise is a waste of hard high consumption of renewable resources. We're studying Marx's condition is Unlimited surge. productivity and our digestive function similar to, and now we have a strong digestive function, but no food to eat, food is the resource industry. did not have the digestive function of the stomach and strong, which means that died quickly. It might as well Yoga, low consumption and live a long time.
but this has created a new problem that is less competitive. Competition is an animal instinct, the competitiveness of different animals have different competition. for small animals words, the way they compete is negative self-defense. such as mosquitoes, rodents, ants, weeds, etc., because they attack is not strong, make up, their fecundity is alarmingly high, even blowing and life. The question now is not enough food to eat. Our economic development of China is a rising curve, but we look carefully, there is a shadow also on the rise, the curve is rising resource consumption. If the economy to make a profit resources The result is that environmental protection is a zero. a good model of economic development should be the economic curve rises at the same time, resource consumption curve down to form a scissors. Anglo-American countries, the development path it is. They plunder, including China, countries of the South resources to protect their environment. With the accelerated development of countries of the South, the problem of insufficient resources, will increasingly become the focus of the international struggle. So to be expected, the limited global resources and world economic development, the contradiction between the infinite and decided the future If you do not reduce the world consumption of resources, it will have wars. In a capitalist conditions, war is the ultimate human way to reduce resource consumption. Now we are nearly exhausted domestic resources. China's western desert, began to , locusts came, I heard the wild animals out of Inner Mongolia Meng run, the eastern part of the frog to run on the road. some people do not understand how this is going, there is no forest and fields, and paddy fields are built into the building, and wild animals only run to the forests of the region, the frog on the road only to run. These are ecological problems. The more serious ecological problems, we will be greater reliance on international resources.
World Resources . Group of Seven has been carved up, the new emerging countries hungry. If we say that the major powers of the last century the main contradiction in the development of a market shortage, the development of the major powers of this century the main contradiction is a shortage of resources. According to Nixon Disclosure: Bo Brezhnev told the leaders of the Third World, as long as the resources of the West stuck, you can get stuck in Western .13 Nixon says resources are the key Western political.
U.S. goal is to control the world's resources. Americans and more fragile than we. They turn pause California electricity can not stand. It is because they have been accustomed to high consumption, the consumption level may drop. Indians than we are, we are more squeamish, India's fifty-degree weather is normal The. we even forty degrees heat in the second half of the .2000 stopped for two days in northern India, the electricity, heat was unbearable I feel can not think Indians are not live.'s living standards are rigid, can not be , unless war. the United States the largest consumer of resources, so its dependence on the big world, it is to control the world, especially military control. the United States like a crab, the abdomen is very soft, is called democracy, but the claws are very hard , is called hegemony. It is the internal democracy and external hegemony. It is very powerful when grasping the world. Some people say that the United States fast fading in this country, but it would not have fallen short, why? it will and ability to detox, detoxification can be beauty. detoxification crisis is passed. If the drug itself did not break out, it is necessary to fight. Recall that the transfer of wealth the world is done by state violence, and now add one, is the crisis of capitalism by violence emissions out.
resources compared to reservoirs, the region's economy were absorbent sponge. the original world, only the two sponges in North America and Europe. the Cold War, the main driving force of China's rise in East Asia. This world of water Total (conventional total resources) will not increase, the world's sponge absorbing the bulk of East Asia has increased. The United States is resource throughput, to soak in the pool of resources to survive in the country, but now the pool it took the water is not enough, his body to break down. Now the strong euro and competitiveness to attract capital, Under the severe shortage of body growth. If we do not reducing the total resource consumption, these three economies are bound to conflict, the result is not three at the same time reducing consumption is one of the parties to destroy opponents.
Some people say China's problem democracy rather than the problem of resources. but do not need peace and democracy but the main learning resource. not to mention how much money Monica Lewinsky case, said Chinese farmers have a grievance, according to the rule of law program, said, should litigation, believe that the state, no question. but the state's lawsuit is also asking him for money, so farmers do not depend on the attitude of the rule of law and democratic process depends on the economic income, real income of the farmers enough to buy most of the material and the rule of law not enough to fight a lawsuit. If can not afford to fight a lawsuit, that the farmer must choose low-cost solution. But if even this does not cost, it is only itself to adventure. the market economy, are about costs. Western countries fear It has a large number of high profits from the South back. from birth to old to ensure that all right, something happens to protect you court the money, so that society will be stable. Chinese farmers to court, lower courts not to the intermediate court, may not reach the Supreme Court, as the plaintiff almost ruined the farmers. why is terrorism there is a market in the poor areas, mainly economic problems. theory and under the law and can not be done are two different things, resources are needed to solve the problem. Western huge resources to nourish, it will have the material basis of domestic democratic development. but only if it must be firmly clamp the world's resources. Since the rise of European integration and East Asian economies growing demand for international resources, the United States to grab more of the world's resources to choose violent means. From 1999 to 2003, the U.S. launched a war almost a year, and every war and control are relevant for the purposes of international resources.
but from political considerations, Europe, the U.S. will not to take action, because Europe is fragmented. while the United States does not want China to completely split. only hope that China, like Europe, the most like, and the relative split over to a inability to obtain resources not only overseas but also the need for external intervention. from the regional strategy, the United States hopes that a few large countries in Asia, the checks and balances state. Therefore, China can not be too weak, had to help the United States pulling India, Russia and Japan. If complete collapse in China continue, Asia will form a large political vacuum, India, Japan, Russia would take the geographical advantage of proximity to fill the vacuum. In that case the United States much. just all pulling each other big countries in Asia, the United States before they can benefit the world.
that year in Britain, the United States break the link with the outside world is a prerequisite for its economic collapse. It needs a strong spending power absorbs resources from the outside. capitalism is such that it destroyed the whole world , but in limited areas and time humans can not feel the results. Capital-led market economy itself is a paradox, no way. In the end mankind has only to find the way from socialism. We used to say that only socialism can save China, should now make up one, and only socialism can save humanity.
X. proliferation of big powers on the regional Morishige, dispel the global expansion of
we are talking about the world's resources, mean that China is also in the future pursue expansion of the world do?
No, definitely not what I mean. and I think the world in terms of the expansion of China's modernization process, is a road leading to disaster. I agree with the development of China Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping, China will never seek hegemony in the diplomatic principles.
set by Deng Xiaoping to China's development goals over the next five years is a medium-developed countries, which means he will be long time in the future development of China located in the influence on the world through regional influence to achieve. we Unlike the United States. The United States is a world-wide country. The U.S. State Department never considered domestic matters. U.S. military exercises are always some of the world powers for the imaginary opponent, imaginary world, a region in the battlefield. Our military is looking at Shanhaiguan, Wuhan, Yangtze River, etc., the U.S. military is the Red Sea, the Panama Canal, Guam, Okinawa Island. future of China's military to have a world perspective, this is the United States experience taught us; the future defense of China's foreign policy from the local Conservative policy to regional transformation, from the introverted type Shouzhuo policy to export-oriented policy of active defense transformation, long-term business in Asia, and good neighbors for centuries in China fortunes to lay deep roots.
historical decline of Germany and the United States on the future course of China Xing is a mirror. while research in Germany, you can not understand the founder of the German Bismarck a century fortunes. Bismarck was born in 1815 and died in 1898 years of his life covering almost the entire nineteenth century. Bismarck's Germany, when young people fall apart, but after the failure of Napoleon in France and brought to its knees. It is the rise of Germany to provide a historic opportunity to .1848 Louis Napoleon III of France . Napoleon came to power, which divided Germany, a tremendous pressure. The 1854 to 1856 outbreak of the Prussian Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, that won the Schleswig - Holstein and Kiel Harbour. then Bismarck has an alliance with Italy to ensure the neutrality of France, despite the obstruction of Austria, began in 1866 and completed the unification of Germany the war, the establishment of the North German Federation. This gives Europe at the time was a huge shock. Italian Cardinal Antonelli, Secretary of State to hear the news of the Prussian victory in the war when unity exclaimed: have thirty (!) dynasty was swept to one side. the fate of two thousand million people this will never change. world politics has changed dramatically. 15 Prussia declared war on the timing, depth to superior forces rapidly in France, when a prisoner of war by the color and the 90,000 troops of Napoleon III, the Bismarck and exploit a victory in Paris to help troops on the suppression of the Paris Commune Thiers revolution. 5.0 billion were from France, Germany francs in war reparations, and was in most parts of Alsace and Lorraine, the German Empire was established in .1871. From 1866 to 1872, Bismarck took only six years to make Germany the rise in unity, which completely changed not conducive to long-term balance of power in Europe, Germany, established in Germany in the European position Zoran does not pull.
Bismarck, however this is not the attractions. really need to learn and understand the future of the Chinese people is the Bismarck in the region after the victory of Conservative foreign policy, and in order to adhere to the principles of its foreign affairs, he did not break the spirit of the new emperor.
Bismarck and the excitement of victory was still in the majority of the Germans the contrary, that Germany's diplomatic activities after the victory of room for more limited. He said: the whole development of the case, our geographical location and according to the German nation, compared with other ethnic groups within the association may be quite loose this feature, we are more than any other nation to unite against us was another danger. After the founding of Bismarck in the official statement immediately and parliamentary speeches repeatedly stressed that and stable German, Russian, Austrian relations between the Three Emperors Emperor .1872 signed an agreement three years Dee Ao, claiming that once peace is the threat from other countries, is consultations in order to reach a common follow the line, signed a secret treaty, known as the Count Arnim ambassador to Paris said in a letter: We do not have any danger; and as long as ...

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